中金:维持中银香港跑赢大市评级 目标价32.38港元

中金发布研究报告称,维持(02388)“跑赢大市”评级,目标价32.38港元,列为香港银行股首选,认为其基本面改善不止是来自本轮加息周期,均衡的收入结构、稳健的资产质量及独特的战略定位,均是未来盈利能力进一步提升重要来源。公司2010-21年ROA均值为1.1%/12.6%,仅次于(00011)。

该行表示,从中短期来看,利率上行有助带动中银香港业绩得到改善,预计2022-23年调整后息差将分别提升29/27个基点至1.38%/1.65%。公司内房敞口风险可控,截至上半年底,78%敞口为国企客户,信用成本表现显著优于同业。由于其息差改善优于预期,该行上调今明年盈测3%/3.2%至306.87/385.42亿元。

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